All matches
100 group-stage fixtures — grouped by date, ordered by kickoff. Knockout matches are simulated, not yet loaded as concrete fixtures. Click any row for the full ensemble breakdown.
Model vs market overview
Last updated 00:42 UTC
Predictions are probabilistic and intended for analysis/entertainment only. This is not financial or betting advice.
Thursday, June 11, 2026
2 matches
- 02:00 UTCSouth KoreavsCzech Republic
0-1 / 1-1 / 1-0·xG 1.51 – 1.60
South Korea
3-2 · 41%
41·25·34
43South Korea3-2 · 41%KOR 41·D 25·CZE 3443CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates South Korea 5 pp higher than the market.
4359Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
41%·25%·34%
Market consensus
36%·30%·34%
42 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCMexicovsSouth Africa
1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1·xG 1.59 – 1.28
Mexico
2-1 · 57%
57·23·19
47Mexico2-1 · 57%MEX 57·D 23·RSA 1947Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates South Africa higher than the market (10 pp gap).
4748Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
57%·23%·19%
Market consensus
67%·22%·11%
42 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Friday, June 12, 2026
2 matches
- 01:00 UTCUnited StatesvsParaguay
1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1·xG 1.57 – 1.28
United States
2-1 · 44%
44·26·30
45United States2-1 · 44%USA 44·D 26·PAR 3045Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Paraguay higher than the market (6 pp gap).
4548Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 6 ppCupCastLab pick
44%·26%·30%
Market consensus
48%·28%·24%
44 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCCanadavsBosnia & Herzegovina
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.52 – 1.27
Canada
2-1 · 46%
46·27·27
45Canada2-1 · 46%CAN 46·D 27·BIH 2745Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Bosnia & Herzegovina higher than the market (7 pp gap).
4553Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
46%·27%·27%
Market consensus
52%·27%·21%
44 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Saturday, June 13, 2026
4 matches
- 01:00 UTCHaitivsScotland
0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2·xG 1.00 – 1.74
Scotland
1-2 · 63%
15·21·63
54Scotland1-2 · 63%HAI 15·D 21·SCO 6354Aligned with market — 1 percentage-point difference.
5435Aligned with marketGap 1 ppCupCastLab pick
15%·21%·63%
Market consensus
14%·21%·65%
44 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 04:00 UTCAustraliavsTurkey
0-1 / 1-1 / 1-2·xG 1.16 – 1.64
Turkey
1-2 · 47%
25·29·47
49Turkey1-2 · 47%AUS 25·D 29·TUR 4749CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Turkey 7 pp lower than the market.
4942Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
25%·29%·47%
Market consensus
20%·26%·54%
42 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCQatarvsSwitzerland
0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2·xG 0.89 – 2.02
Switzerland
1-2 · 63%
11·26·63
58Switzerland1-2 · 63%QAT 11·D 26·SUI 6358CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Switzerland 15 pp lower than the market.
5826Strongly divergentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 15 ppCupCastLab pick
11%·26%·63%
Market consensus
7%·15%·78%
44 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCBrazilvsMorocco
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.86 – 1.25
Brazil
2-1 · 46%
46·33·22
54Brazil2-1 · 46%BRA 46·D 33·MAR 2254CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Brazil 13 pp lower than the market.
5440Strongly divergentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 13 ppCupCastLab pick
46%·33%·22%
Market consensus
59%·24%·17%
44 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Sunday, June 14, 2026
4 matches
- 02:00 UTCSwedenvsTunisia
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.28 – 1.28
Sweden
2-1 · 48%
48·26·27
39Sweden2-1 · 48%SWE 48·D 26·TUN 2739Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
3961Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
48%·26%·27%
Market consensus
49%·28%·23%
41 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 17:00 UTCGermanyvsCuraçao
1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0·xG 1.94 – 1.10
Germany
3-1 · 73%
73·14·12
58Germany3-1 · 73%GER 73·D 14·CUW 1258Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Curaçao higher than the market (19 pp gap).
5834Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 19 ppCupCastLab pick
73%·14%·12%
Market consensus
92%·6%·2%
37 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCNetherlandsvsJapan
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.74 – 1.24
Netherlands
2-1 · 43%
43·34·24
53Netherlands2-1 · 43%NED 43·D 34·JPN 2453CupCastLab sees more chance of a draw than the market (7 pp gap).
5342Slightly differentHigher draw chanceGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
43%·34%·24%
Market consensus
48%·27%·25%
41 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:00 UTCIvory CoastvsEcuador
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.43 – 1.37
Ecuador
1-2 · 37%
36·26·37
41Ecuador1-2 · 37%CIV 36·D 26·ECU 3741Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Ivory Coast higher than the market (10 pp gap).
4160Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
36%·26%·37%
Market consensus
26%·33%·41%
41 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Monday, June 15, 2026
4 matches
- 01:00 UTCIranvsNew Zealand
1-0 / 2-0 / 0-1·xG 1.56 – 0.93
Iran
2-1 · 48%
48·28·24
46Iran2-1 · 48%IRN 48·D 28·NZL 2446Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
4640Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
48%·28%·24%
Market consensus
50%·28%·22%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 16:00 UTCSpainvsCape Verde
2-1 / 1-0 / 2-0·xG 2.29 – 1.06
Spain
2-1 · 70%
70·16·14
61Spain2-1 · 70%ESP 70·D 16·CPV 1461Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Cape Verde higher than the market (18 pp gap).
6126Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 18 ppCupCastLab pick
70%·16%·14%
Market consensus
88%·9%·3%
40 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCBelgiumvsEgypt
2-1 / 1-0 / 1-1·xG 1.90 – 1.34
Belgium
2-1 · 45%
45·34·21
50Belgium2-1 · 45%BEL 45·D 34·EGY 2150CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Belgium 12 pp lower than the market.
5042Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 12 ppCupCastLab pick
45%·34%·21%
Market consensus
57%·24%·19%
41 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCSaudi ArabiavsUruguay
0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2·xG 0.98 – 2.25
Uruguay
1-2 · 56%
15·29·56
57Uruguay1-2 · 56%KSA 15·D 29·URU 5657CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Uruguay 9 pp lower than the market.
5725Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 9 ppCupCastLab pick
15%·29%·56%
Market consensus
14%·22%·65%
43 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Tuesday, June 16, 2026
4 matches
- 01:00 UTCArgentinavsAlgeria
2-1 / 2-0 / 1-0·xG 2.44 – 1.04
Argentina
3-1 · 72%
72·18·10
63Argentina3-1 · 72%ARG 72·D 18·ALG 1063Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
6323Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
72%·18%·10%
Market consensus
68%·21%·11%
43 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 04:00 UTCAustriavsJordan
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.75 – 1.32
Austria
2-1 · 56%
56·25·19
47Austria2-1 · 56%AUT 56·D 25·JOR 1947Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Jordan higher than the market (17 pp gap).
4749Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 17 ppCupCastLab pick
56%·25%·19%
Market consensus
72%·18%·10%
40 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCFrancevsSenegal
1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0·xG 2.17 – 1.09
France
2-1 · 67%
67·18·15
59France2-1 · 67%FRA 67·D 18·SEN 1559Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
5929Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
67%·18%·15%
Market consensus
66%·21%·13%
40 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCIraqvsNorway
1-2 / 0-1 / 0-2·xG 1.14 – 2.18
Norway
1-3 · 72%
12·16·72
54Norway1-3 · 72%IRQ 12·D 16·NOR 7254CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Norway 6 pp lower than the market.
5430Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 6 ppCupCastLab pick
12%·16%·72%
Market consensus
7%·14%·78%
40 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Wednesday, June 17, 2026
4 matches
- 02:00 UTCUzbekistanvsColombia
0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2·xG 1.08 – 2.01
Colombia
1-2 · 68%
13·19·68
54Colombia1-2 · 68%UZB 13·D 19·COL 6854Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
5432Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
13%·19%·68%
Market consensus
12%·21%·67%
39 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 17:00 UTCPortugalvsDR Congo
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.52 – 1.43
Portugal
2-1 · 49%
49·30·21
50Portugal2-1 · 49%POR 49·D 30·COD 2150Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates DR Congo higher than the market (26 pp gap).
5053Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 26 ppCupCastLab pick
49%·30%·21%
Market consensus
75%·17%·9%
40 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCEnglandvsCroatia
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.78 – 1.38
England
2-1 · 53%
53·24·23
52England2-1 · 53%ENG 53·D 24·CRO 2352Aligned with market — 3 percentage-point difference.
5245Aligned with marketGap 3 ppCupCastLab pick
53%·24%·23%
Market consensus
55%·25%·20%
40 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:00 UTCGhanavsPanama
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.48 – 1.32
Ghana
2-1 · 37%
37·29·34
41Ghana2-1 · 37%GHA 37·D 29·PAN 3441Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Panama higher than the market (10 pp gap).
4156Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
37%·29%·34%
Market consensus
47%·27%·26%
41 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Thursday, June 18, 2026
4 matches
- 01:00 UTCMexicovsSouth Korea
1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1·xG 1.59 – 1.54
Mexico
3-2 · 47%
47·25·27
44Mexico3-2 · 47%MEX 47·D 25·KOR 2744Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates South Korea higher than the market (6 pp gap).
4455Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 6 ppCupCastLab pick
47%·25%·27%
Market consensus
52%·27%·21%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 16:00 UTCCzech RepublicvsSouth Africa
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.67 – 1.31
Czech Republic
2-1 · 42%
42·34·24
45Czech Republic2-1 · 42%CZE 42·D 34·RSA 2445CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Czech Republic 5 pp lower than the market.
4551Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
42%·34%·24%
Market consensus
47%·29%·24%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCSwitzerlandvsBosnia & Herzegovina
1-0 / 2-0 / 2-1·xG 1.65 – 0.95
Switzerland
2-1 · 59%
59·23·18
54Switzerland2-1 · 59%SUI 59·D 23·BIH 1854Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
5435Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
59%·23%·18%
Market consensus
60%·24%·16%
37 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCCanadavsQatar
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.85 – 1.18
Canada
2-1 · 61%
61·23·16
49Canada2-1 · 61%CAN 61·D 23·QAT 1649Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Qatar higher than the market (10 pp gap).
4941Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
61%·23%·16%
Market consensus
71%·19%·10%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Friday, June 19, 2026
4 matches
- 00:30 UTCBrazilvsHaiti
2-0 / 1-0 / 2-1·xG 2.35 – 0.95
Brazil
3-1 · 79%
79·13·8
62Brazil3-1 · 79%BRA 79·D 13·HAI 862CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Brazil 10 pp lower than the market.
6222Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
79%·13%·8%
Market consensus
89%·8%·3%
34 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 03:00 UTCTurkeyvsParaguay
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.73 – 1.25
Turkey
2-1 · 40%
40·27·33
48Turkey2-1 · 40%TUR 40·D 27·PAR 3348CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Turkey 2 pp lower than the market.
4843Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
40%·27%·33%
Market consensus
42%·30%·28%
35 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCUnited StatesvsAustralia
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.55 – 1.25
United States
2-1 · 45%
45·28·27
47United States2-1 · 45%USA 45·D 28·AUS 2747Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Australia higher than the market (9 pp gap).
4747Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 9 ppCupCastLab pick
45%·28%·27%
Market consensus
54%·25%·21%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCScotlandvsMorocco
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.40 – 1.29
Morocco
1-2 · 46%
28·26·46
45Morocco1-2 · 46%SCO 28·D 26·MAR 4645Aligned with market — 5 percentage-point difference.
4553Aligned with marketGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
28%·26%·46%
Market consensus
24%·29%·47%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Saturday, June 20, 2026
4 matches
- 00:00 UTCEcuadorvsCuraçao
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.36 – 1.34
Ecuador
2-1 · 50%
50·28·22
42Ecuador2-1 · 50%ECU 50·D 28·CUW 2242Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Curaçao higher than the market (26 pp gap).
4261Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 26 ppCupCastLab pick
50%·28%·22%
Market consensus
76%·15%·8%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 04:00 UTCTunisiavsJapan
0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1·xG 1.15 – 1.47
Japan
1-2 · 53%
22·25·53
48Japan1-2 · 53%TUN 22·D 25·JPN 5348Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
4847Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
22%·25%·53%
Market consensus
20%·27%·53%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 17:00 UTCNetherlandsvsSweden
1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0·xG 1.96 – 1.06
Netherlands
2-1 · 62%
62·20·18
56Netherlands2-1 · 62%NED 62·D 20·SWE 1856Aligned with market — 5 percentage-point difference.
5632Aligned with marketGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
62%·20%·18%
Market consensus
57%·24%·18%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCGermanyvsIvory Coast
1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0·xG 1.96 – 1.17
Germany
2-1 · 58%
58·23·19
55Germany2-1 · 58%GER 58·D 23·CIV 1955Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
5535Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
58%·23%·19%
Market consensus
62%·22%·16%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Sunday, June 21, 2026
4 matches
- 01:00 UTCNew ZealandvsEgypt
0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2·xG 1.08 – 1.89
Egypt
1-2 · 57%
20·23·57
48Egypt1-2 · 57%NZL 20·D 23·EGY 5748Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
4838Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
20%·23%·57%
Market consensus
19%·26%·55%
34 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 16:00 UTCSpainvsSaudi Arabia
2-0 / 2-1 / 1-0·xG 2.60 – 0.91
Spain
3-1 · 77%
77·13·10
63Spain3-1 · 77%ESP 77·D 13·KSA 1063CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Spain 9 pp lower than the market.
6319Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 9 ppCupCastLab pick
77%·13%·10%
Market consensus
86%·10%·4%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCBelgiumvsIran
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.67 – 1.12
Belgium
2-1 · 54%
54·27·18
51Belgium2-1 · 54%BEL 54·D 27·IRN 1851CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Belgium 13 pp lower than the market.
5140Strongly divergentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 13 ppCupCastLab pick
54%·27%·18%
Market consensus
67%·20%·13%
37 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCUruguayvsCape Verde
1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0·xG 2.01 – 1.15
Uruguay
2-1 · 51%
51·24·25
53Uruguay2-1 · 51%URU 51·D 24·CPV 2553Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Cape Verde higher than the market (15 pp gap).
5334Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 15 ppCupCastLab pick
51%·24%·25%
Market consensus
66%·21%·13%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Monday, June 22, 2026
4 matches
- 00:00 UTCNorwayvsSenegal
2-1 / 1-1 / 1-0·xG 1.77 – 1.60
Norway
3-2 · 47%
47·25·28
44Norway3-2 · 47%NOR 47·D 25·SEN 2844Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
4453Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
47%·25%·28%
Market consensus
45%·28%·27%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 03:00 UTCJordanvsAlgeria
0-1 / 1-1 / 1-0·xG 1.26 – 1.58
Algeria
1-2 · 54%
20·26·54
44Algeria1-2 · 54%JOR 20·D 26·ALG 5444CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Algeria 6 pp lower than the market.
4452Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 6 ppCupCastLab pick
20%·26%·54%
Market consensus
17%·24%·59%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 17:00 UTCArgentinavsAustria
2-1 / 3-1 / 2-0·xG 2.62 – 1.18
Argentina
3-1 · 68%
68·19·14
64Argentina3-1 · 68%ARG 68·D 19·AUT 1464CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates Argentina 10 pp higher than the market.
6424Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
68%·19%·14%
Market consensus
57%·25%·18%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 21:00 UTCFrancevsIraq
2-0 / 3-0 / 1-0·xG 2.66 – 0.77
France
3-1 · 84%
84·11·5
66France3-1 · 84%FRA 84·D 11·IRQ 566Aligned with market — 1 percentage-point difference.
6615Aligned with marketGap 1 ppCupCastLab pick
84%·11%·5%
Market consensus
84%·11%·4%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Tuesday, June 23, 2026
4 matches
- 02:00 UTCColombiavsDR Congo
0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1·xG 1.30 – 1.64
Colombia
3-2 · 51%
51·23·26
50Colombia3-2 · 51%COL 51·D 23·COD 2650Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates DR Congo higher than the market (14 pp gap).
5046Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 14 ppCupCastLab pick
51%·23%·26%
Market consensus
65%·23%·13%
36 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 17:00 UTCPortugalvsUzbekistan
2-0 / 1-0 / 2-1·xG 2.39 – 0.96
Portugal
3-1 · 75%
75·16·9
61Portugal3-1 · 75%POR 75·D 16·UZB 961Aligned with market — 1 percentage-point difference.
6122Aligned with marketGap 1 ppCupCastLab pick
75%·16%·9%
Market consensus
76%·15%·8%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCEnglandvsGhana
2-1 / 1-0 / 2-0·xG 2.26 – 1.10
England
2-1 · 61%
61·25·13
58England2-1 · 61%ENG 61·D 25·GHA 1358CupCastLab is more conservative: rates England 10 pp lower than the market.
5828Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
61%·25%·13%
Market consensus
71%·18%·10%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:00 UTCPanamavsCroatia
0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2·xG 1.03 – 1.88
Croatia
1-2 · 64%
15·21·64
55Croatia1-2 · 64%PAN 15·D 21·CRO 6455Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
5533Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
15%·21%·64%
Market consensus
13%·23%·63%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Wednesday, June 24, 2026
6 matches
- 01:00 UTCCzech RepublicvsMexico
1-1 / 0-1 / 1-0·xG 1.59 – 1.59
Mexico
2-3 · 50%
27·23·50
42Mexico2-3 · 50%CZE 27·D 23·MEX 5042Aligned with market — 5 percentage-point difference.
4258Aligned with marketGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
27%·23%·50%
Market consensus
22%·27%·51%
31 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 01:00 UTCSouth AfricavsSouth Korea
0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1·xG 1.27 – 1.53
South Korea
1-2 · 43%
32·25·43
46South Korea1-2 · 43%RSA 32·D 25·KOR 4346Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates South Africa higher than the market (7 pp gap).
4649Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
32%·25%·43%
Market consensus
25%·28%·47%
31 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCSwitzerlandvsCanada
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.83 – 1.25
Switzerland
2-1 · 54%
54·25·21
52Switzerland2-1 · 54%SUI 54·D 25·CAN 2152CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates Switzerland 9 pp higher than the market.
5241Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 9 ppCupCastLab pick
54%·25%·21%
Market consensus
45%·29%·26%
38 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCBosnia & HerzegovinavsQatar
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.41 – 1.09
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2-1 · 52%
52·27·21
44Bosnia & Herzegovina2-1 · 52%BIH 52·D 27·QAT 2144CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Bosnia & Herzegovina 7 pp lower than the market.
4450Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
52%·27%·21%
Market consensus
60%·24%·16%
37 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCScotlandvsBrazil
0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1·xG 1.31 – 1.86
Brazil
1-2 · 60%
19·21·60
55Brazil1-2 · 60%SCO 19·D 21·BRA 6055Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Scotland higher than the market (8 pp gap).
5541Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 8 ppCupCastLab pick
19%·21%·60%
Market consensus
12%·20%·68%
33 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 22:00 UTCMoroccovsHaiti
1-0 / 1-1 / 2-1·xG 1.63 – 1.01
Morocco
2-1 · 66%
66·20·15
51Morocco2-1 · 66%MAR 66·D 20·HAI 1551Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Haiti higher than the market (10 pp gap).
5138Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
66%·20%·15%
Market consensus
76%·16%·8%
35 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Thursday, June 25, 2026
6 matches
- 02:00 UTCParaguayvsAustralia
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.30 – 1.28
D
1-1 · 38%
33·38·29
41D1-1 · 38%PAR 33·D 38·AUS 2941CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Paraguay 10 pp lower than the market.
4160Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
33%·38%·29%
Market consensus
43%·29%·27%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 02:00 UTCTurkeyvsUnited States
1-0 / 1-1 / 2-1·xG 1.63 – 1.41
Turkey
2-1 · 38%
38·34·29
48Turkey2-1 · 38%TUR 38·D 34·USA 2948CupCastLab is more conservative: rates United States 9 pp lower than the market.
4850Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 9 ppCupCastLab pick
38%·34%·29%
Market consensus
35%·28%·37%
30 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCCuraçaovsIvory Coast
0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1·xG 1.43 – 1.49
Ivory Coast
1-2 · 57%
23·21·57
43Ivory Coast1-2 · 57%CUW 23·D 21·CIV 5743Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Curaçao higher than the market (15 pp gap).
4360Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 15 ppCupCastLab pick
23%·21%·57%
Market consensus
10%·18%·72%
30 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCEcuadorvsGermany
0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2·xG 1.07 – 1.84
Germany
1-2 · 47%
29·24·47
54Germany1-2 · 47%ECU 29·D 24·GER 4754Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Ecuador higher than the market (10 pp gap).
5435Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
29%·24%·47%
Market consensus
19%·25%·56%
31 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:00 UTCJapanvsSweden
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.56 – 1.19
Japan
2-1 · 41%
41·33·26
47Japan2-1 · 41%JPN 41·D 33·SWE 2647CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Japan 4 pp lower than the market.
4746Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
41%·33%·26%
Market consensus
46%·28%·27%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:00 UTCTunisiavsNetherlands
0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2·xG 1.00 – 1.84
Netherlands
1-2 · 65%
15·20·65
56Netherlands1-2 · 65%TUN 15·D 20·NED 6556Aligned with market — 3 percentage-point difference.
5633Aligned with marketGap 3 ppCupCastLab pick
15%·20%·65%
Market consensus
15%·23%·62%
30 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Friday, June 26, 2026
6 matches
- 00:00 UTCCape VerdevsSaudi Arabia
1-0 / 1-1 / 2-1·xG 1.61 – 1.23
Cape Verde
2-1 · 43%
43·28·29
42Cape Verde2-1 · 43%CPV 43·D 28·KSA 2942CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates Cape Verde 5 pp higher than the market.
4251Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
43%·28%·29%
Market consensus
37%·29%·33%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 00:00 UTCUruguayvsSpain
0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1·xG 1.41 – 1.75
Spain
1-2 · 58%
19·22·58
53Spain1-2 · 58%URU 19·D 22·ESP 5853Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
5347Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
19%·22%·58%
Market consensus
18%·24%·58%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 03:00 UTCEgyptvsIran
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.42 – 1.31
Egypt
2-1 · 39%
39·31·30
41Egypt2-1 · 39%EGY 39·D 31·IRN 3041Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
4158Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
39%·31%·30%
Market consensus
41%·31%·28%
30 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 03:00 UTCNew ZealandvsBelgium
0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2·xG 0.87 – 2.17
Belgium
1-2 · 69%
14·17·69
57Belgium1-2 · 69%NZL 14·D 17·BEL 6957Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
5723Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
14%·17%·69%
Market consensus
10%·17%·73%
29 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCNorwayvsFrance
1-2 / 0-1 / 1-3·xG 1.31 – 2.32
France
1-2 · 62%
18·20·62
59France1-2 · 62%NOR 18·D 20·FRA 6259CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates France 10 pp higher than the market.
5932Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
18%·20%·62%
Market consensus
22%·26%·52%
30 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 19:00 UTCSenegalvsIraq
1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0·xG 1.78 – 1.01
Senegal
2-1 · 62%
62·22·16
50Senegal2-1 · 62%SEN 62·D 22·IRQ 1650Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
5037Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
62%·22%·16%
Market consensus
66%·21%·13%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Saturday, June 27, 2026
6 matches
- 02:00 UTCAlgeriavsAustria
0-1 / 1-1 / 1-2·xG 1.55 – 1.62
Austria
2-3 · 38%
26·36·38
42Austria2-3 · 38%ALG 26·D 36·AUT 3842CupCastLab sees more chance of a draw than the market (6 pp gap).
4260Slightly differentHigher draw chanceGap 6 ppCupCastLab pick
26%·36%·38%
Market consensus
28%·30%·42%
30 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 02:00 UTCJordanvsArgentina
0-2 / 0-1 / 1-2·xG 0.87 – 2.52
Argentina
1-3 · 82%
5·13·82
65Argentina1-3 · 82%JOR 5·D 13·ARG 8265Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
6518Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
5%·13%·82%
Market consensus
8%·14%·78%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 21:00 UTCPanamavsEngland
0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2·xG 0.96 – 2.21
England
1-3 · 74%
11·15·74
60England1-3 · 74%PAN 11·D 15·ENG 7460Aligned with market — 1 percentage-point difference.
6025Aligned with marketGap 1 ppCupCastLab pick
11%·15%·74%
Market consensus
11%·16%·73%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 21:00 UTCCroatiavsGhana
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.81 – 1.11
Croatia
2-1 · 59%
59·23·19
53Croatia2-1 · 59%CRO 59·D 23·GHA 1953Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
5337Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
59%·23%·19%
Market consensus
55%·26%·20%
32 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:30 UTCColombiavsPortugal
1-2 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.40 – 1.89
Portugal
1-2 · 43%
28·29·43
52Portugal1-2 · 43%COL 28·D 29·POR 4352Aligned with market — 1 percentage-point difference.
5244Aligned with marketGap 1 ppCupCastLab pick
28%·29%·43%
Market consensus
28%·29%·44%
31 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:30 UTCDR CongovsUzbekistan
1-0 / 2-0 / 2-1·xG 2.01 – 0.83
DR Congo
2-1 · 53%
53·27·20
59DR Congo2-1 · 53%COD 53·D 27·UZB 2059CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates DR Congo 13 pp higher than the market.
5924Strongly divergentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 13 ppCupCastLab pick
53%·27%·20%
Market consensus
39%·29%·32%
33 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Sunday, June 28, 2026
1 match
Monday, June 29, 2026
3 matches
- 01:00 UTCNetherlandsvsMorocco
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.46 – 1.29
Netherlands
2-1 · 38%
38·26·36
48Netherlands2-1 · 38%NED 38·D 26·MAR 3648Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Morocco higher than the market (7 pp gap).
4851Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
38%·26%·36%
Market consensus
42%·28%·30%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 17:00 UTCBrazilvsJapan
2-1 / 1-0 / 2-0·xG 2.12 – 1.15
Brazil
2-1 · 56%
56·24·20
58Brazil2-1 · 56%BRA 56·D 24·JPN 2058CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates Brazil 10 pp higher than the market.
5831Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
56%·24%·20%
Market consensus
46%·27%·26%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 20:30 UTCGermanyvsParaguay
1-0 / 2-0 / 2-1·xG 2.00 – 0.99
Germany
2-1 · 52%
52·24·24
57Germany2-1 · 52%GER 52·D 24·PAR 2457CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates Germany 5 pp higher than the market.
5729Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
52%·24%·24%
Market consensus
46%·27%·27%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Tuesday, June 30, 2026
3 matches
- 01:00 UTCMexicovsEcuador
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.53 – 1.34
Mexico
2-1 · 47%
47·25·27
44Mexico2-1 · 47%MEX 47·D 25·ECU 2744Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Ecuador higher than the market (32 pp gap).
4452Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 32 ppCupCastLab pick
47%·25%·27%
Market consensus
80%·12%·9%
46 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 17:00 UTCIvory CoastvsNorway
1-2 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.56 – 1.83
Norway
2-3 · 50%
27·23·50
46Norway2-3 · 50%CIV 27·D 23·NOR 5046Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Ivory Coast higher than the market (14 pp gap).
4650Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 14 ppCupCastLab pick
27%·23%·50%
Market consensus
14%·23%·63%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 21:00 UTCFrancevsSweden
2-0 / 1-0 / 2-1·xG 2.34 – 0.89
France
3-1 · 72%
72·15·13
63France3-1 · 72%FRA 72·D 15·SWE 1363Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Sweden higher than the market (7 pp gap).
6321Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
72%·15%·13%
Market consensus
75%·19%·6%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Wednesday, July 1, 2026
3 matches
- 00:00 UTCUnited StatesvsBosnia & Herzegovina
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.51 – 1.15
United States
2-1 · 55%
55·23·22
47United States2-1 · 55%USA 55·D 23·BIH 2247Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Bosnia & Herzegovina higher than the market (31 pp gap).
4745Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 31 ppCupCastLab pick
55%·23%·22%
Market consensus
86%·10%·4%
46 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 16:00 UTCEnglandvsDR Congo
1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.53 – 1.40
England
2-1 · 55%
55·23·22
51England2-1 · 55%ENG 55·D 23·COD 2251Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates DR Congo higher than the market (17 pp gap).
5152Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 17 ppCupCastLab pick
55%·23%·22%
Market consensus
72%·18%·9%
44 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 20:00 UTCBelgiumvsSenegal
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.66 – 1.37
Belgium
2-1 · 37%
37·36·27
47Belgium2-1 · 37%BEL 37·D 36·SEN 2747Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Senegal higher than the market (29 pp gap).
4749Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 29 ppCupCastLab pick
37%·36%·27%
Market consensus
19%·65%·15%
46 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
Thursday, July 2, 2026
3 matches
- 03:00 UTCSwitzerlandvsAlgeria
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.77 – 1.16
Switzerland
2-1 · 52%
52·26·22
52Switzerland2-1 · 52%SUI 52·D 26·ALG 2252CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Switzerland 6 pp lower than the market.
5239Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 6 ppCupCastLab pick
52%·26%·22%
Market consensus
58%·23%·19%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 19:00 UTCSpainvsAustria
2-1 / 1-0 / 2-0·xG 2.33 – 1.28
Spain
2-1 · 65%
65·21·14
60Spain2-1 · 65%ESP 65·D 21·AUT 1460Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Austria higher than the market (15 pp gap).
6031Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 15 ppCupCastLab pick
65%·21%·14%
Market consensus
79%·15%·5%
34 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC
- 23:00 UTCPortugalvsCroatia
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.72 – 1.37
Portugal
2-1 · 46%
46·26·28
52Portugal2-1 · 46%POR 46·D 26·CRO 2852Aligned with market — 3 percentage-point difference.
5246Aligned with marketGap 3 ppCupCastLab pick
46%·26%·28%
Market consensus
50%·25%·25%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Friday, July 3, 2026
3 matches
- 01:30 UTCColombiavsGhana
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.89 – 1.25
Colombia
2-1 · 57%
57·21·22
50Colombia2-1 · 57%COL 57·D 21·GHA 2250Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Ghana higher than the market (18 pp gap).
5040Strongly divergentPossible underdog valueGap 18 ppCupCastLab pick
57%·21%·22%
Market consensus
75%·19%·6%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 18:00 UTCAustraliavsEgypt
0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1·xG 1.42 – 1.54
Egypt
1-2 · 41%
30·30·41
42Egypt1-2 · 41%AUS 30·D 30·EGY 4142Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Egypt higher than the market (10 pp gap).
4258Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
30%·30%·41%
Market consensus
40%·29%·31%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 22:00 UTCArgentinavsCape Verde
2-1 / 2-0 / 1-0·xG 2.63 – 1.01
Argentina
3-1 · 71%
71·15·14
65Argentina3-1 · 71%ARG 71·D 15·CPV 1465Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Cape Verde higher than the market (11 pp gap).
6520Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 11 ppCupCastLab pick
71%·15%·14%
Market consensus
77%·19%·4%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Saturday, July 4, 2026
2 matches
- 17:00 UTCCanadavsMorocco
0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1·xG 1.26 – 1.74
Morocco
1-2 · 53%
22·25·53
49Morocco1-2 · 53%CAN 22·D 25·MAR 5349Aligned with market — 0 percentage-point difference.
4943Aligned with marketGap 0 ppCupCastLab pick
22%·25%·53%
Market consensus
22%·24%·53%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 21:00 UTCParaguayvsFrance
0-2 / 0-1 / 1-2·xG 0.90 – 2.33
France
1-3 · 71%
13·17·71
63France1-3 · 71%PAR 13·D 17·FRA 7163Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
6321Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
13%·17%·71%
Market consensus
11%·21%·69%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Sunday, July 5, 2026
2 matches
- 00:00 UTCMexicovsEngland
1-2 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.29 – 1.95
England
1-2 · 56%
21·24·56
54England1-2 · 56%MEX 21·D 24·ENG 5654Aligned with market — 2 percentage-point difference.
5439Aligned with marketGap 2 ppCupCastLab pick
21%·24%·56%
Market consensus
22%·24%·54%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 20:00 UTCBrazilvsNorway
2-1 / 3-1 / 1-0·xG 2.38 – 1.44
Brazil
2-1 · 47%
47·23·29
57Brazil2-1 · 47%BRA 47·D 23·NOR 2957CupCastLab is more aggressive: rates Brazil 10 pp higher than the market.
5735Slightly differentCupCastLab is more aggressiveGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
47%·23%·29%
Market consensus
37%·30%·33%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Monday, July 6, 2026
2 matches
- 00:00 UTCUnited StatesvsBelgium
0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1·xG 1.33 – 1.68
Belgium
1-2 · 50%
25·24·50
50Belgium1-2 · 50%USA 25·D 24·BEL 5050CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Belgium 7 pp lower than the market.
5047Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 7 ppCupCastLab pick
25%·24%·50%
Market consensus
20%·23%·57%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 19:00 UTCPortugalvsSpain
1-2 / 0-1 / 1-1·xG 1.54 – 1.71
Spain
2-3 · 48%
28·24·48
51Spain2-3 · 48%POR 28·D 24·ESP 4851Possible underdog value — CupCastLab rates Portugal higher than the market (10 pp gap).
5152Slightly differentPossible underdog valueGap 10 ppCupCastLab pick
28%·24%·48%
Market consensus
18%·24%·58%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Tuesday, July 7, 2026
2 matches
- 16:00 UTCArgentinavsEgypt
2-1 / 2-0 / 1-0·xG 2.51 – 1.07
Argentina
3-1 · 70%
70·18·12
63Argentina3-1 · 70%ARG 70·D 18·EGY 1263Aligned with market — 5 percentage-point difference.
6323Aligned with marketGap 5 ppCupCastLab pick
70%·18%·12%
Market consensus
73%·19%·8%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 20:00 UTCSwitzerlandvsColombia
1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1·xG 1.57 – 1.41
Colombia
2-3 · 34%
33·33·34
46Colombia2-3 · 34%SUI 33·D 33·COL 3446CupCastLab is more conservative: rates Colombia 8 pp lower than the market.
4652Slightly differentCupCastLab is more conservativeGap 8 ppCupCastLab pick
33%·33%·34%
Market consensus
30%·28%·42%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
Thursday, July 9, 2026
1 match
Friday, July 10, 2026
1 match
Saturday, July 11, 2026
2 matches
- 01:00 UTCArgentinavsSwitzerland
1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1·xG 1.84 – 1.17
Argentina
2-1 · 55%
55·24·22
58Argentina2-1 · 55%ARG 55·D 24·SUI 2258Aligned with market — 3 percentage-point difference.
5837Aligned with marketGap 3 ppCupCastLab pick
55%·24%·22%
Market consensus
57%·24%·19%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)
- 21:00 UTCNorwayvsEngland
1-2 / 2-2 / 0-1·xG 1.54 – 2.18
England
2-3 · 51%
26·23·51
53England2-3 · 51%NOR 26·D 23·ENG 5153Aligned with market — 4 percentage-point difference.
5342Aligned with marketGap 4 ppCupCastLab pick
26%·23%·51%
Market consensus
28%·25%·47%
2 sources·Last updated 00:42 UTC(2)