Knockout bracket
An interactive view derived from the Monte Carlo simulator. Probabilities describe the share of simulations in which each team reaches each stage.
Most likely finals
From 10,000 simulations.
Path to the title
Top 16 teams ordered by probability of winning the trophy.
13.61%
QF: 53%SF: 33%Final: 22%Title: 13.61%
13.36%
QF: 48%SF: 31%Final: 20%Title: 13.36%
10.13%
QF: 43%SF: 28%Final: 17%Title: 10.13%
7.16%
QF: 35%SF: 21%Final: 13%Title: 7.16%
6.57%
QF: 34%SF: 20%Final: 12%Title: 6.57%
5.74%
QF: 37%SF: 21%Final: 11%Title: 5.74%
5.43%
QF: 33%SF: 20%Final: 11%Title: 5.43%
4.47%
QF: 29%SF: 17%Final: 9%Title: 4.47%
3.59%
QF: 26%SF: 14%Final: 7%Title: 3.59%
3.02%
QF: 25%SF: 13%Final: 7%Title: 3.02%
2.78%
QF: 28%SF: 13%Final: 6%Title: 2.78%
2.43%
QF: 24%SF: 13%Final: 6%Title: 2.43%
2.31%
QF: 21%SF: 10%Final: 5%Title: 2.31%
2.26%
QF: 21%SF: 10%Final: 5%Title: 2.26%
2.01%
QF: 21%SF: 11%Final: 5%Title: 2.01%
1.87%
QF: 19%SF: 9%Final: 4%Title: 1.87%
Dark horses
Lower-rated sides with higher-than-expected late-stage probability.
- CuraçaoScore 18.0
- DR CongoScore 11.8
- ScotlandScore 9.3
- South AfricaScore 7.5
- Czech RepublicScore 3.1
- Bosnia & HerzegovinaScore 0.1
