DR Congo

CAF · Group K

DR Congo

Elo 1620 · 4.2% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1620
Base rating86
Attack82
Midfield84
Defense86
Goalkeeper86
Set pieces78
Penalties80
Form80
Volatility46
Squad depth82
Injury status86
Data quality93

Ratings

Analyst brief — DR Congo going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

AFCON 2023 semi-finalists, now back at the World Cup for the first time since 1974. Sébastien Desabre has built a clear identity.

Style

Athletic 4-3-3, fast vertical transitions, physically dominant.

Squad

Yoane Wissa the centre-forward; Cédric Bakambu still influential at 34; Chancel Mbemba the leader at the back; Mpasi-Nzau in goal.

Tournament ceiling

Round of 16. The 2023 AFCON run proved this group can compete with the continent's best.

Biggest risk

Squad cohesion — players from many leagues means limited training-camp time before tournaments.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group K
Wed, Jun 17 · 17:00 UTC
50% conf

Portugal

Elo 1995

vs

DR Congo

Elo 1704

POR 42%Draw 20%COD 38%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.0%

xG 1.521.43BTTS 57%·O2.5 57%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%

Match details
Group K
Tue, Jun 23 · 02:00 UTC
50% conf

Colombia

Elo 2003

vs

DR Congo

Elo 1704

COL 32%Draw 20%COD 48%

Colombia live

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1 · top exact 10.7%

xG 1.301.64BTTS 57%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%

Match details
Group K
Sat, Jun 27 · 23:30 UTC
59% conf

DR Congo

Elo 1704

vs

Uzbekistan

Elo 1631

COD 67%Draw 17%UZB 16%

DR Congo dominant

Most likely exact 1-0 at 13.4% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 2.010.83BTTS 47%·O2.5 54%

If it opens up: 3-0at 7.9%

Match details
Group X
Wed, Jul 1 · 16:00 UTC
50% conf

England

Elo 2076

vs

DR Congo

Elo 1704

ENG 43%Draw 20%COD 37%

DR Congo live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.2%

xG 1.531.40BTTS 57%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.1%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing68
Possession pref.72
Directness60
High line60
Set-piece threat76
Slug · dr-congo