Bosnia & Herzegovina

UEFA · Group B

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Elo 1700 · 0.2% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1700
Base rating71
Attack68
Midfield70
Defense74
Goalkeeper74
Set pieces66
Penalties70
Form68
Volatility56
Squad depth62
Injury status86
Data quality78

Ratings

Analyst brief — Bosnia & Herzegovina going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Best qualifying cycle in a decade — Sergej Barbarez has revitalised a generation that hadn't made a WC since 2014.

Style

Pragmatic 4-2-3-1, defensively organised, Dženan Pjanić-influenced ball circulation in midfield.

Squad

Edin Džeko ageing but still influential; Demirović the next-generation #9; Šešlija and Šunjić the back; Begović in goal.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit baseline; R16 would be over-performance.

Biggest risk

Off-field federation dysfunction has disrupted previous campaigns — squad cohesion the open question.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group B
Fri, Jun 12 · 19:00 UTC
45% conf

Canada

Elo 1729

vs

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Elo 1605

CAN 45%Draw 21%BIH 34%

Bosnia & Herzegovina live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.5%

xG 1.521.27BTTS 54%·O2.5 53%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.7%

Match details
Group B
Thu, Jun 18 · 19:00 UTC
54% conf

Switzerland

Elo 1949

vs

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Elo 1605

SUI 56%Draw 20%BIH 24%

Switzerland clear edge

Projected score 1-0 · top exact 14.3%

xG 1.650.95BTTS 48%·O2.5 48%

If it opens up: 3-0at 5.5%

Match details
Group B
Wed, Jun 24 · 19:00 UTC
44% conf

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Elo 1605

vs

Qatar

Elo 1411

BIH 47%Draw 22%QAT 31%

Qatar live

Most likely exact 1-0 at 13.8% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 1.411.09BTTS 48%·O2.5 46%

If it opens up: 2-2at 4.9%

Match details
Group X
Wed, Jul 1 · 00:00 UTC
47% conf

United States

Elo 1747

vs

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Elo 1605

USA 48%Draw 21%BIH 31%

Bosnia & Herzegovina live

Most likely exact 1-0 at 12.7% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 1.511.15BTTS 51%·O2.5 50%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.3%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing60
Possession pref.56
Directness60
High line56
Set-piece threat64
Slug · bosnia-and-herzegovina