Morocco
CAF · Group C
Morocco
Elo 1855 · 2.0% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Morocco going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Riding the 2022 semi-final wave and 2024 AFCON run. Regragui has built genuine continuity.
Style
4-3-3 with Hakim Ziyech and Brahim Díaz wide of Mazraoui-pushed-forward. High line; aggressive press.
Squad
Hakimi the engine; Saïss & Aguerd at the back; En-Nesyri the centre-forward; Yassine Bounou (Bono) elite GK.
Tournament ceiling
Semi-final. They've done it before; nothing structural says they can't do it again.
Biggest risk
Squad rotation depth — if Hakimi or Bono miss, the level drops.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Brazil
Elo 1993
Morocco
Elo 1901
Brazil narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.1%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match details
Scotland
Elo 1750
Morocco
Elo 1901
Very balanced
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.7%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.5%
Match detailsMorocco
Elo 1901
Haiti
Elo 1517
Morocco narrow edge
Most likely exact 1-0 at 13.7% (low dominance — distribution is flat)
If it opens up: 3-1at 5.2%
Match details
Netherlands
Elo 1971
Morocco
Elo 1901
Morocco live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.5%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.7%
Match details
Canada
Elo 1729
Morocco
Elo 1901
Morocco narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1 · top exact 10.7%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match details
France
Elo 2163
Morocco
Elo 1901
France clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 11.6%
If it opens up: 3-1at 6.1%
Match details