Colombia
CONMEBOL · Group K
Colombia
Elo 1870 · 1.9% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Colombia going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Strong qualifying cycle with a clear identity under Lorenzo. Lost the 2024 Copa final but were the tournament's second-best team.
Style
Positional, patient buildup, Luis Díaz & James-style creativity. Press-resistant midfield triangle.
Squad
James Rodríguez has rolled back the years; Luis Díaz the spearhead; Lerma & Ríos the legs; Mina/Cuesta the defensive line.
Tournament ceiling
Quarter-final, with a real shot at the semi if the bracket opens.
Biggest risk
Goalscoring depth — over-reliance on Luis Díaz. A tournament injury would be hard to replace.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Uzbekistan
Elo 1631
Colombia
Elo 2003
Colombia clear edge
Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2 · top exact 10.9%
If it opens up: 1-3at 6.6%
Match detailsColombia
Elo 2003
DR Congo
Elo 1704
Colombia live
Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1 · top exact 10.7%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match detailsColombia
Elo 2003
Portugal
Elo 1995
Portugal narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-2 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 9.3%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.5%
Match detailsColombia
Elo 2003
Ghana
Elo 1570
Colombia narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.0%
If it opens up: 3-1at 6.1%
Match details
Switzerland
Elo 1949
Colombia
Elo 2003
Colombia live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1 · top exact 10.0%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%
Match details