United States
CONCACAF · Group D · Host nation
United States
Elo 1820 · 0.9% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — United States going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Co-host pressure — Pochettino has settled on a 4-3-3 with Pulisic central and Reyna or Aaronson rotating.
Style
Pochettino brings high-pressing, fast verticality. American Soccer League graduates increasingly bring the technical level.
Squad
Pulisic the star; Reyna, McKennie & Adams the spine; Balogun the centre-forward bet; Robinson at LB world-class.
Tournament ceiling
Quarter-final realistic with home crowd boost.
Biggest risk
Defensive central-CB pairing — Richards/Ream is not at the level of the rest of the team.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
United States
Elo 1747
Paraguay
Elo 1814
Paraguay live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1 · top exact 11.2%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.8%
Match detailsUnited States
Elo 1747
Australia
Elo 1795
Australia live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.6%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.7%
Match details
Turkey
Elo 1852
United States
Elo 1747
United States live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 2-1 · top exact 9.8%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.3%
Match detailsUnited States
Elo 1747
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Elo 1605
Bosnia & Herzegovina live
Most likely exact 1-0 at 12.7% (low dominance — distribution is flat)
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.3%
Match detailsUnited States
Elo 1747
Belgium
Elo 1948
United States live
Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1 · top exact 10.2%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%
Match details