Switzerland
UEFA · Group B
Switzerland
Elo 1870 · 2.1% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Switzerland going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Yakin's tactical clarity carried them to Euro 2024 quarters and a smooth qualifying cycle.
Style
Compact 3-4-2-1, defensively well drilled, transitions through Embolo / Vargas.
Squad
Sommer still reliable; Akanji and Schär the experienced defenders; Xhaka the locker-room captain.
Tournament ceiling
Round of 16, Quarter-final possible against the right draw.
Biggest risk
Goal production — they create few high-value chances and over-rely on one Embolo or Shaqiri moment.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Qatar
Elo 1411
Switzerland
Elo 1949
Switzerland dominant
Most likely exact 0-1 at 12.8% (low dominance — distribution is flat)
If it opens up: 0-3at 7.5%
Match detailsSwitzerland
Elo 1949
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Elo 1605
Switzerland clear edge
Projected score 1-0 · top exact 14.3%
If it opens up: 3-0at 5.5%
Match detailsSwitzerland
Elo 1949
Canada
Elo 1729
Switzerland narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.3%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match detailsSwitzerland
Elo 1949
Algeria
Elo 1756
Switzerland narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.4%
If it opens up: 3-1at 5.7%
Match detailsSwitzerland
Elo 1949
Colombia
Elo 2003
Colombia live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1 · top exact 10.0%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%
Match details
Argentina
Elo 2156
Switzerland
Elo 1949
Argentina clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.0%
If it opens up: 3-1at 6.0%
Match details