Scotland

UEFA · Group C

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Scotland

Elo 1750 · 2.6% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1750

Base rating83

Attack80

Midfield82

Defense82

Goalkeeper82

Set pieces78

Penalties78

Form80

Volatility48

Squad depth78

Injury status86

Data quality90

Ratings

Analyst brief — Scotland going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Strong qualifying cycle under Steve Clarke (since replaced); first WC appearance since 1998.

Style

5-3-2 with wing-back overlaps; aggressive set-piece routines; defensively organised.

Squad

Scott McTominay the captain and box-arriver; John McGinn the engine; Andy Robertson the leader; Angus Gunn / Craig Gordon options in goal; Kieran Tierney + Grant Hanley the spine.

Tournament ceiling

Round of 16. With McTominay at this level and a fit Robertson, a soft group could go their way.

Biggest risk

Centre-forward output — Scotland have created chances at every major tournament but rarely finished them.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group C

Sat, Jun 13 · 01:00 UTC

54% conf

Haiti

Elo 1517

Scotland

Elo 1750

HAI 24%Draw 20%SCO 57%

Scotland clear edge

Projected score 0-1 · top exact 13.2%

xG 1.00 – 1.74BTTS 50%·O2.5 52%

If it opens up: 1-3at 5.7%

Match details

Group C

Fri, Jun 19 · 22:00 UTC

45% conf

Scotland

Elo 1750

Morocco

Elo 1901

SCO 42%Draw 21%MAR 37%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.7%

xG 1.40 – 1.29BTTS 52%·O2.5 50%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.5%

Match details

Group C

Wed, Jun 24 · 22:00 UTC

55% conf

Scotland

Elo 1750

Brazil

Elo 1993

SCO 29%Draw 19%BRA 52%

Brazil narrow edge

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1 · top exact 9.6%

xG 1.31 – 1.86BTTS 60%·O2.5 61%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing72

Possession pref.70

Directness62

High line65

Set-piece threat76

Slug · scotland