Paraguay
CONMEBOL · Group D
Paraguay
Elo 1720 · 0.3% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Paraguay going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Punching above weight under Almirón — qualification confirmed late but with a clear, defensively-sound profile.
Style
Old-school 4-4-2 / 4-2-3-1, low block, fast wing transitions. Sets piece threat is genuine.
Squad
Almirón (Newcastle) the X-factor; Gómez and Espínola anchor; Sosa and Bareiro the goal threats.
Tournament ceiling
Group stage exit is the realistic baseline. A Round of 16 berth would be over-performance.
Biggest risk
Lack of variety in attack — sides that block the wings successfully suffocate them.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Turkey
Elo 1852
Paraguay
Elo 1814
Turkey narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.8%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.9%
Match detailsParaguay
Elo 1814
Australia
Elo 1795
Very balanced
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 12.1%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.2%
Match details
United States
Elo 1747
Paraguay
Elo 1814
Paraguay live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1 · top exact 11.2%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.8%
Match details
Germany
Elo 1907
Paraguay
Elo 1814
Germany clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-0 / 2-1 · top exact 11.9%
If it opens up: 3-0at 6.7%
Match detailsParaguay
Elo 1814
France
Elo 2163
France dominant
Scoreline cluster 0-2 / 0-1 / 1-2 · top exact 10.7%
If it opens up: 0-3at 8.3%
Match details