New Zealand

OFC · Group G

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New Zealand

Elo 1530 · 0.0% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1530

Base rating64

Attack62

Midfield62

Defense64

Goalkeeper68

Set pieces60

Penalties64

Form64

Volatility68

Squad depth54

Injury status86

Data quality70

Ratings

Analyst brief — New Zealand going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Qualified via the OFC route — Wynton Rufer's side dominates Oceania but hasn't been tested.

Style

Physical, direct, set-piece focused — classic Antipodean football.

Squad

Bill Tuiloma the experienced CB; Chris Wood the centre-forward; Sarpreet Singh the creator.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit. Realistic ceiling.

Biggest risk

Pace of play — when faced with technical opponents NZ struggle to keep up.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group G

Mon, Jun 15 · 01:00 UTC

46% conf

Iran

Elo 1764

New Zealand

Elo 1534

IRN 54%Draw 21%NZL 25%

Iran narrow edge

Most likely exact 1-0 at 15.0% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 1.56 – 0.93BTTS 46%·O2.5 46%

If it opens up: 3-0at 5.2%

Match details

Group G

Sun, Jun 21 · 01:00 UTC

48% conf

New Zealand

Elo 1534

Egypt

Elo 1742

NZL 23%Draw 19%EGY 58%

Egypt clear edge

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2 · top exact 11.6%

xG 1.08 – 1.89BTTS 54%·O2.5 57%

If it opens up: 1-3at 6.3%

Match details

Group G

Fri, Jun 26 · 03:00 UTC

57% conf

New Zealand

Elo 1534

Belgium

Elo 1948

NZL 15%Draw 16%BEL 69%

Belgium dominant

Most likely exact 0-1 at 12.0% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 0.87 – 2.17BTTS 50%·O2.5 59%

If it opens up: 0-3at 8.2%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing60

Possession pref.50

Directness72

High line50

Set-piece threat64

Slug · new-zealand