Norway

UEFA · Group I

← All teams

Norway

Elo 1830 · 1.5% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1830

Base rating80

Attack86

Midfield74

Defense72

Goalkeeper76

Set pieces76

Penalties78

Form80

Volatility58

Squad depth72

Injury status84

Data quality86

Ratings

Analyst brief — Norway going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Qualifying was an exhibition — Haaland & Ødegaard make them dangerous from the first minute.

Style

Direct, fast, Haaland as the focal point. Solbakken's 4-3-3 makes the most of his two superstars.

Squad

Haaland the best #9 alive; Ødegaard the playmaker; Nusa the wide threat; the rest of the squad is solid not spectacular.

Tournament ceiling

Quarter-final. A real WC debut for the modern team.

Biggest risk

Squad depth — if Haaland or Ødegaard miss a knockout game, the chance evaporates.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group I

Tue, Jun 16 · 22:00 UTC

54% conf

Iraq

Elo 1561

Norway

Elo 1972

IRQ 21%Draw 17%NOR 63%

Norway clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-2 / 0-1 / 0-2 · top exact 9.8%

xG 1.14 – 2.18BTTS 59%·O2.5 64%

If it opens up: 1-3at 7.1%

Match details

Group I

Mon, Jun 22 · 00:00 UTC

44% conf

Norway

Elo 1972

Senegal

Elo 1816

NOR 44%Draw 19%SEN 37%

Senegal live

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 1-1 / 1-0 · top exact 8.6%

xG 1.77 – 1.60BTTS 64%·O2.5 65%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.9%

Match details

Group I

Fri, Jun 26 · 19:00 UTC

59% conf

Norway

Elo 1972

France

Elo 2163

NOR 22%Draw 16%FRA 61%

France clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-2 / 0-1 / 1-3 · top exact 9.3%

xG 1.31 – 2.32BTTS 64%·O2.5 70%

If it opens up: 1-3at 7.2%

Match details

Group X

Tue, Jun 30 · 17:00 UTC

46% conf

Ivory Coast

Elo 1727

Norway

Elo 1972

CIV 35%Draw 19%NOR 46%

Ivory Coast live

Scoreline cluster 1-2 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 8.8%

xG 1.56 – 1.83BTTS 64%·O2.5 66%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.9%

Match details

Group X

Sun, Jul 5 · 20:00 UTC

57% conf

Brazil

Elo 1993

Norway

Elo 1972

BRA 60%Draw 17%NOR 24%

Brazil clear edge

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 3-1 / 1-0 · top exact 9.0%

xG 2.38 – 1.44BTTS 68%·O2.5 73%

If it opens up: 3-1at 7.1%

Match details

Group X

Sat, Jul 11 · 21:00 UTC

53% conf

Norway

Elo 1972

England

Elo 2076

NOR 29%Draw 18%ENG 54%

England narrow edge

Scoreline cluster 1-2 / 2-2 / 0-1 · top exact 8.9%

xG 1.54 – 2.18BTTS 68%·O2.5 72%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.8%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing65

Possession pref.58

Directness78

High line60

Set-piece threat78

Slug · norway