Canada
CONCACAF · Group B · Host nation
Canada
Elo 1770 · 0.4% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Canada going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Co-host — Marsch energising the side. Strong friendlies against UEFA opposition through 2024-25.
Style
Marsch's 4-2-2-2 — pressing, vertical, transitions through Davies and David.
Squad
Alphonso Davies arguably one of the world's best LBs; Jonathan David elite striker; Eustáquio the press-resistant midfielder.
Tournament ceiling
Round of 16, with Quarter-final possible at home.
Biggest risk
Squad depth beyond the top six — bench players are a step below.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Canada
Elo 1729
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Elo 1605
Bosnia & Herzegovina live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.5%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.7%
Match detailsCanada
Elo 1729
Qatar
Elo 1411
Canada clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.8%
If it opens up: 3-1at 6.0%
Match details
Switzerland
Elo 1949
Canada
Elo 1729
Switzerland narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.3%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match details
South Africa
Elo 1560
Canada
Elo 1729
Very balanced
Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 10.4%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match detailsCanada
Elo 1729
Morocco
Elo 1901
Morocco narrow edge
Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 1-1 · top exact 10.7%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%
Match details