Group J

Projected table from Monte Carlo simulations, plus every group-stage fixture.

Projected standings

Averaged across all simulations.

#	Team	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Group W%	Adv %
1	Argentina	6.7	2.1	0.5	0.4	7.2	3.0	4.2	69.2	93.2
2	Austria	3.8	1.0	0.7	1.3	4.4	5.2	-0.8	13.8	59.3
3	Algeria	3.5	0.9	0.7	1.4	4.1	5.2	-1.1	10.7	55.5
4	Jordan	2.8	0.7	0.7	1.6	3.4	5.6	-2.3	6.4	41.9

Scenario explorer

Each fixture below shows the conditional outcome distribution.

Group J

Tue, Jun 16 · 01:00 UTC

63% conf

Argentina

Elo 2156

Algeria

Elo 1756

ARG 69%Draw 15%ALG 16%

Argentina dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 2-0 / 1-0 · top exact 9.5%

xG 2.44 – 1.04BTTS 58%·O2.5 68%

If it opens up: 3-1at 7.8%

Match details

Group J

Tue, Jun 16 · 04:00 UTC

47% conf

Austria

Elo 1821

Jordan

Elo 1628

AUT 49%Draw 20%JOR 31%

Jordan live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.1%

xG 1.75 – 1.32BTTS 59%·O2.5 59%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%

Match details

Group J

Mon, Jun 22 · 17:00 UTC

64% conf

Argentina

Elo 2156

Austria

Elo 1821

ARG 69%Draw 14%AUT 16%

Argentina dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 3-1 / 2-0 · top exact 9.1%

xG 2.62 – 1.18BTTS 63%·O2.5 73%

If it opens up: 3-1at 7.9%

Match details

Group J

Mon, Jun 22 · 03:00 UTC

44% conf

Jordan

Elo 1628

Algeria

Elo 1756

JOR 33%Draw 21%ALG 47%

Jordan live

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-1 / 1-0 · top exact 11.3%

xG 1.26 – 1.58BTTS 55%·O2.5 54%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.8%

Match details

Group J

Sat, Jun 27 · 02:00 UTC

42% conf

Algeria

Elo 1756

Austria

Elo 1821

ALG 39%Draw 20%AUT 42%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-1 / 1-2 · top exact 8.7%

xG 1.55 – 1.62BTTS 61%·O2.5 61%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.6%

Match details

Group J

Sat, Jun 27 · 02:00 UTC

65% conf

Jordan

Elo 1628

Argentina

Elo 2156

JOR 12%Draw 13%ARG 74%

Argentina dominant

Scoreline cluster 0-2 / 0-1 / 1-2 · top exact 10.7%

xG 0.87 – 2.52BTTS 52%·O2.5 66%

If it opens up: 0-3at 9.0%

Match details