Austria

UEFA · Group J

Austria

Elo 1820 · 0.5% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1820
Base rating78
Attack80
Midfield72
Defense70
Goalkeeper80
Set pieces74
Penalties78
Form72
Volatility58
Squad depth70
Injury status82
Data quality85

Ratings

Analyst brief — Austria going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Excellent qualifying cycle under Ralf Rangnick — Euro 2024 group winners, momentum carried.

Style

Aggressive press, vertical transitions, central overloads. Most disciplined press structure in UEFA after Germany.

Squad

Marko Arnautović still leading the line at 37; Konrad Laimer the box-to-box engine; Schlager + Sabitzer in midfield; Alaba a leadership figure when fit.

Tournament ceiling

Round of 16 a reasonable target; quarter-final possible against a soft draw.

Biggest risk

Centre-forward conversion — Austria create chances but finishing has been a recurring issue at major tournaments.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group J
Tue, Jun 16 · 04:00 UTC
47% conf

Austria

Elo 1821

vs

Jordan

Elo 1628

AUT 49%Draw 20%JOR 31%

Jordan live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.1%

xG 1.751.32BTTS 59%·O2.5 59%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%

Match details
Group J
Mon, Jun 22 · 17:00 UTC
64% conf

Argentina

Elo 2156

vs

Austria

Elo 1821

ARG 69%Draw 14%AUT 16%

Argentina dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 3-1 / 2-0 · top exact 9.1%

xG 2.621.18BTTS 63%·O2.5 73%

If it opens up: 3-1at 7.9%

Match details
Group J
Sat, Jun 27 · 02:00 UTC
42% conf

Algeria

Elo 1756

vs

Austria

Elo 1821

ALG 39%Draw 20%AUT 42%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-1 / 1-2 · top exact 8.7%

xG 1.551.62BTTS 61%·O2.5 61%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.6%

Match details
Group X
Thu, Jul 2 · 19:00 UTC
60% conf

Spain

Elo 2190

vs

Austria

Elo 1821

ESP 62%Draw 16%AUT 21%

Spain clear edge

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 1-0 / 2-0 · top exact 9.4%

xG 2.331.28BTTS 64%·O2.5 70%

If it opens up: 3-1at 7.3%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing60
Possession pref.50
Directness75
High line55
Set-piece threat75
Slug · austria