Group E

Projected table from Monte Carlo simulations, plus every group-stage fixture.

Projected standings

Averaged across all simulations.

#	Team	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Group W%	Adv %
1	Germany	5.7	1.7	0.7	0.6	5.5	3.2	2.3	51.0	84.5
2	Ivory Coast	3.8	1.0	0.7	1.3	3.9	4.5	-0.6	17.9	57.5
3	Ecuador	3.6	0.9	0.8	1.3	3.6	4.5	-0.8	15.8	54.3
4	Curaçao	3.5	0.9	0.7	1.3	3.7	4.6	-0.9	15.3	53.7

Scenario explorer

Each fixture below shows the conditional outcome distribution.

Group E

Sun, Jun 14 · 17:00 UTC

58% conf

Germany

Elo 1907

Curaçao

Elo 1438

GER 59%Draw 18%CUW 23%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 11.1%

xG 1.94 – 1.10BTTS 55%·O2.5 59%

If it opens up: 3-1at 6.4%

Match details

Group E

Sun, Jun 14 · 23:00 UTC

41% conf

Ivory Coast

Elo 1727

Ecuador

Elo 1871

CIV 41%Draw 21%ECU 38%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.8%

xG 1.43 – 1.37BTTS 55%·O2.5 53%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.8%

Match details

Group E

Sat, Jun 20 · 20:00 UTC

55% conf

Germany

Elo 1907

Ivory Coast

Elo 1727

GER 58%Draw 18%CIV 24%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 10.4%

xG 1.96 – 1.17BTTS 57%·O2.5 60%

If it opens up: 3-1at 6.4%

Match details

Group E

Sat, Jun 20 · 00:00 UTC

42% conf

Ecuador

Elo 1871

Curaçao

Elo 1438

ECU 40%Draw 21%CUW 39%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.3%

xG 1.36 – 1.34BTTS 53%·O2.5 51%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.6%

Match details

Group E

Thu, Jun 25 · 20:00 UTC

43% conf

Curaçao

Elo 1438

Ivory Coast

Elo 1727

CUW 38%Draw 21%CIV 41%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 10.1%

xG 1.43 – 1.49BTTS 57%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.1%

Match details

Group E

Thu, Jun 25 · 20:00 UTC

54% conf

Ecuador

Elo 1871

Germany

Elo 1907

ECU 24%Draw 19%GER 57%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2 · top exact 11.9%

xG 1.07 – 1.84BTTS 53%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 1-3at 6.1%

Match details