Tunisia

CAF · Group F

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Tunisia

Elo 1700 · 0.2% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1700

Base rating72

Attack70

Midfield70

Defense74

Goalkeeper74

Set pieces68

Penalties70

Form70

Volatility58

Squad depth64

Injury status84

Data quality76

Ratings

Analyst brief — Tunisia going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Functional qualifying but lacks star quality. Sami Trabelsi back in charge after the 2022 cycle.

Style

Compact mid-block 4-3-3, set-piece focused.

Squad

Mejbri the future creator; Hannibal & Skhiri midfielders in form; defensively organised.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit baseline.

Biggest risk

Goalscoring — Tunisia generated very few high-value chances across the cycle.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group F

Sun, Jun 14 · 02:00 UTC

39% conf

Sweden

Elo 1731

Tunisia

Elo 1562

SWE 39%Draw 22%TUN 39%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 12.2%

xG 1.28 – 1.28BTTS 50%·O2.5 47%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.2%

Match details

Group F

Sat, Jun 20 · 04:00 UTC

48% conf

Tunisia

Elo 1562

Japan

Elo 1888

TUN 32%Draw 21%JPN 47%

Tunisia live

Most likely exact 0-1 at 12.9% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 1.15 – 1.47BTTS 50%·O2.5 49%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.2%

Match details

Group F

Thu, Jun 25 · 23:00 UTC

56% conf

Tunisia

Elo 1562

Netherlands

Elo 1971

TUN 22%Draw 19%NED 59%

Netherlands clear edge

Most likely exact 0-1 at 12.7% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 1.00 – 1.84BTTS 51%·O2.5 54%

If it opens up: 0-3at 6.1%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing68

Possession pref.58

Directness65

High line60

Set-piece threat66

Slug · tunisia