South Africa

CAF · Group A

South Africa

Elo 1670 · 0.3% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1670
Base rating74
Attack72
Midfield72
Defense74
Goalkeeper74
Set pieces70
Penalties72
Form74
Volatility58
Squad depth66
Injury status84
Data quality78

Ratings

Analyst brief — South Africa going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

AFCON 2023 third-place finishers; Hugo Broos has restored Bafana Bafana identity. First WC since 2010 (host).

Style

Possession-leaning 4-3-3, midfield-controlled buildup, Themba Zwane the conductor.

Squad

Themba Zwane the creative captain; Lyle Foster the centre-forward; Ronwen Williams a top-tier GK; Mokoena and Mudau the wide threats.

Tournament ceiling

Round of 16 realistic.

Biggest risk

Squad ageing in key roles — Williams (32), Zwane (35) carry a lot of the team.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group A
Thu, Jun 11 · 19:00 UTC
47% conf

Mexico

Elo 1913

vs

South Africa

Elo 1560

MEX 47%Draw 20%RSA 33%

South Africa live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 0-1 · top exact 11.0%

xG 1.591.28BTTS 56%·O2.5 55%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.9%

Match details
Group A
Thu, Jun 18 · 16:00 UTC
45% conf

Czech Republic

Elo 1680

vs

South Africa

Elo 1560

CZE 48%Draw 20%RSA 32%

South Africa live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.5%

xG 1.671.31BTTS 57%·O2.5 57%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.1%

Match details
Group A
Wed, Jun 24 · 01:00 UTC
46% conf

South Africa

Elo 1560

vs

South Korea

Elo 1723

RSA 34%Draw 21%KOR 45%

South Africa live

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 11.4%

xG 1.271.53BTTS 54%·O2.5 53%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.7%

Match details
Group X
Sun, Jun 28 · 19:00 UTC
42% conf

South Africa

Elo 1560

vs

Canada

Elo 1729

RSA 38%Draw 21%CAN 41%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 10.4%

xG 1.401.48BTTS 56%·O2.5 55%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.0%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing68
Possession pref.60
Directness64
High line60
Set-piece threat68
Slug · south-africa