Saudi Arabia

AFC · Group H

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Saudi Arabia

Elo 1640 · 0.1% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1640

Base rating70

Attack68

Midfield68

Defense65

Goalkeeper70

Set pieces64

Penalties66

Form66

Volatility70

Squad depth60

Injury status85

Data quality75

Ratings

Analyst brief — Saudi Arabia going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Saudi Arabia has invested heavily; Hervé Renard is back and has restored discipline.

Style

4-3-3, compact mid-block, fast wide transitions.

Squad

Salem Al-Dawsari the captain; Salman Al-Faraj veteran orchestrator; Al-Owais in goal.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit baseline. The 2022 Argentina shock was the high-water mark.

Biggest risk

Depth in midfield — the bench drops off sharply.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group H

Mon, Jun 15 · 22:00 UTC

57% conf

Saudi Arabia

Elo 1596

Uruguay

Elo 1841

KSA 17%Draw 16%URU 68%

Uruguay dominant

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2 · top exact 10.4%

xG 0.98 – 2.25BTTS 54%·O2.5 63%

If it opens up: 0-3at 7.5%

Match details

Group H

Sun, Jun 21 · 16:00 UTC

63% conf

Spain

Elo 2190

Saudi Arabia

Elo 1596

ESP 75%Draw 13%KSA 12%

Spain dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-0 / 2-1 / 1-0 · top exact 10.1%

xG 2.60 – 0.91BTTS 54%·O2.5 68%

If it opens up: 3-0at 8.7%

Match details

Group H

Fri, Jun 26 · 00:00 UTC

42% conf

Cape Verde

Elo 1619

Saudi Arabia

Elo 1596

CPV 48%Draw 20%KSA 31%

Saudi Arabia live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 1-1 / 2-1 · top exact 11.5%

xG 1.61 – 1.23BTTS 55%·O2.5 54%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.7%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing72

Possession pref.65

Directness60

High line70

Set-piece threat60

Slug · saudi-arabia