Qatar
AFC · Group B
Qatar
Elo 1610 · 0.0% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Qatar going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Disappointing 2022 (host) led to coaching change; Bartolomé Márquez has rebuilt structure.
Style
Possession-leaning 4-3-3 with Almoez Ali up top.
Squad
Akram Afif the captain; Almoez Ali the goal threat; Saad Al-Sheeb in goal.
Tournament ceiling
Group stage exit. Qatar haven't shown they can compete with non-AFC opposition.
Biggest risk
Step up in competition — qualifying through AFC doesn't prepare them for non-Asian opponents.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Qatar
Elo 1411
Switzerland
Elo 1949
Switzerland dominant
Most likely exact 0-1 at 12.8% (low dominance — distribution is flat)
If it opens up: 0-3at 7.5%
Match details
Canada
Elo 1729
Qatar
Elo 1411
Canada clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.8%
If it opens up: 3-1at 6.0%
Match details
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Elo 1605
Qatar
Elo 1411
Qatar live
Most likely exact 1-0 at 13.8% (low dominance — distribution is flat)
If it opens up: 2-2at 4.9%
Match details