Panama

CONCACAF · Group L

Panama

Elo 1680 · 0.1% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1680
Base rating70
Attack70
Midfield68
Defense70
Goalkeeper72
Set pieces66
Penalties68
Form68
Volatility58
Squad depth62
Injury status84
Data quality76

Ratings

Analyst brief — Panama going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Their best generation — Gold Cup 2023 final, Copa America 2024 quarters.

Style

Compact mid-block, transition-heavy, set-piece focused.

Squad

Carrasquilla in midfield; Quintero, Murillo the spine; Fajardo emerging up front.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit baseline; R16 with a good draw possible.

Biggest risk

Squad depth — drops off quickly past the starting 11.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group L
Wed, Jun 17 · 23:00 UTC
41% conf

Ghana

Elo 1570

vs

Panama

Elo 1658

GHA 43%Draw 21%PAN 36%

Panama live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.1%

xG 1.481.32BTTS 55%·O2.5 53%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.8%

Match details
Group L
Tue, Jun 23 · 23:00 UTC
55% conf

Panama

Elo 1658

vs

Croatia

Elo 1881

PAN 22%Draw 19%CRO 59%

Croatia clear edge

Most likely exact 0-1 at 12.2% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 1.031.88BTTS 53%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 1-3at 6.2%

Match details
Group L
Sat, Jun 27 · 21:00 UTC
60% conf

Panama

Elo 1658

vs

England

Elo 2076

PAN 17%Draw 16%ENG 67%

England dominant

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 0-2 / 1-2 · top exact 10.9%

xG 0.962.21BTTS 53%·O2.5 61%

If it opens up: 0-3at 7.6%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing65
Possession pref.55
Directness68
High line58
Set-piece threat66
Slug · panama