Germany

UEFA · Group E

Germany

Elo 1970 · 6.0% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1970
Base rating88
Attack86
Midfield88
Defense84
Goalkeeper86
Set pieces80
Penalties82
Form80
Volatility48
Squad depth86
Injury status86
Data quality94

Ratings

Analyst brief — Germany going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Renaissance under Nagelsmann post-Euro 2024. Beat Italy + Netherlands convincingly during the cycle.

Style

High press, full-back inverted into midfield, Kroos-shaped pivot now taken by Goretzka/Pavlović.

Squad

Musiala & Wirtz are the brightest attacking duo in Europe; Kimmich the metronome; Tah/Rüdiger defence.

Tournament ceiling

Final. The most exciting team to watch outside of France.

Biggest risk

Goalscoring centre-forward — Füllkrug ageing; Niclas Füllkrug or Behrens needed to step up.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group E
Sun, Jun 14 · 17:00 UTC
58% conf

Germany

Elo 1907

vs

Curaçao

Elo 1438

GER 59%Draw 18%CUW 23%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 11.1%

xG 1.941.10BTTS 55%·O2.5 59%

If it opens up: 3-1at 6.4%

Match details
Group E
Sat, Jun 20 · 20:00 UTC
55% conf

Germany

Elo 1907

vs

Ivory Coast

Elo 1727

GER 58%Draw 18%CIV 24%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 10.4%

xG 1.961.17BTTS 57%·O2.5 60%

If it opens up: 3-1at 6.4%

Match details
Group E
Thu, Jun 25 · 20:00 UTC
54% conf

Ecuador

Elo 1871

vs

Germany

Elo 1907

ECU 24%Draw 19%GER 57%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2 · top exact 11.9%

xG 1.071.84BTTS 53%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 1-3at 6.1%

Match details
Group X
Mon, Jun 29 · 20:30 UTC
57% conf

Germany

Elo 1907

vs

Paraguay

Elo 1814

GER 63%Draw 18%PAR 20%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-0 / 2-1 · top exact 11.9%

xG 2.000.99BTTS 53%·O2.5 57%

If it opens up: 3-0at 6.7%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing76
Possession pref.76
Directness60
High line70
Set-piece threat76
Slug · germany