Curaçao

CONCACAF · Group E

Curaçao

Elo 1430 · 0.4% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1430
Base rating76
Attack76
Midfield74
Defense74
Goalkeeper76
Set pieces72
Penalties74
Form72
Volatility56
Squad depth70
Injury status84
Data quality84

Ratings

Analyst brief — Curaçao going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Smallest nation ever (by population) to qualify — Dick Advocaat masterclass in the CONCACAF playoffs.

Style

Compact mid-block, transition-heavy, Dutch-school positional play in possession.

Squad

Tahith Chong, Cuco Martina and Eloy Room give the squad genuine quality; squad heavily reliant on Dutch-academy products.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage. Beating any opponent would be a generational moment.

Biggest risk

Pure squad depth — the gap between first XI and bench is wide.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group E
Sun, Jun 14 · 17:00 UTC
58% conf

Germany

Elo 1907

vs

Curaçao

Elo 1438

GER 59%Draw 18%CUW 23%

Germany clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 11.1%

xG 1.941.10BTTS 55%·O2.5 59%

If it opens up: 3-1at 6.4%

Match details
Group E
Sat, Jun 20 · 00:00 UTC
42% conf

Ecuador

Elo 1871

vs

Curaçao

Elo 1438

ECU 40%Draw 21%CUW 39%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.3%

xG 1.361.34BTTS 53%·O2.5 51%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.6%

Match details
Group E
Thu, Jun 25 · 20:00 UTC
43% conf

Curaçao

Elo 1438

vs

Ivory Coast

Elo 1727

CUW 38%Draw 21%CIV 41%

Very balanced

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 10.1%

xG 1.431.49BTTS 57%·O2.5 56%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.1%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing70
Possession pref.60
Directness62
High line60
Set-piece threat70
Slug · curacao