Uzbekistan

AFC · Group K

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Uzbekistan

Elo 1650 · 0.0% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1650

Base rating69

Attack68

Midfield68

Defense68

Goalkeeper70

Set pieces64

Penalties68

Form70

Volatility58

Squad depth60

Injury status84

Data quality74

Ratings

Analyst brief — Uzbekistan going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

First-ever WC qualification — strong cycle under Srečko Katanec's replacement.

Style

4-3-3, defensively organised, building from the back.

Squad

Eldor Shomurodov the centre-forward; Khusayinov in midfield; Khabilov in goal.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit baseline.

Biggest risk

First WC nerves — Uzbekistan have to prove they can handle the stage.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group K

Wed, Jun 17 · 02:00 UTC

54% conf

Uzbekistan

Elo 1631

Colombia

Elo 2003

UZB 22%Draw 18%COL 61%

Colombia clear edge

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2 · top exact 10.9%

xG 1.08 – 2.01BTTS 55%·O2.5 60%

If it opens up: 1-3at 6.6%

Match details

Group K

Tue, Jun 23 · 17:00 UTC

61% conf

Portugal

Elo 1995

Uzbekistan

Elo 1631

POR 70%Draw 15%UZB 15%

Portugal dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-0 / 1-0 / 2-1 · top exact 10.1%

xG 2.39 – 0.96BTTS 54%·O2.5 65%

If it opens up: 3-0at 8.0%

Match details

Group K

Sat, Jun 27 · 23:30 UTC

59% conf

DR Congo

Elo 1704

Uzbekistan

Elo 1631

COD 67%Draw 17%UZB 16%

DR Congo dominant

Most likely exact 1-0 at 13.4% (low dominance — distribution is flat)

xG 2.01 – 0.83BTTS 47%·O2.5 54%

If it opens up: 3-0at 7.9%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing66

Possession pref.60

Directness60

High line60

Set-piece threat64

Slug · uzbekistan