Sweden
UEFA · Group F
Sweden
Elo 1740 · 0.2% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Sweden going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Tough recent cycle; Jon Dahl Tomasson took over and rebuilt the spine. Qualified late but with momentum.
Style
4-4-2 / 4-2-3-1, pragmatic, transition-heavy. Set pieces are a genuine weapon.
Squad
Alexander Isak the centre-forward; Anthony Elanga + Dejan Kulusevski the wide threats; Lindelöf + Jansson the defensive base; Olsen in goal.
Tournament ceiling
Round of 16 with Isak firing; quarter-final on a soft draw.
Biggest risk
Over-reliance on Isak for goals — if he's missing, Sweden don't generate enough alternative routes to goal.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
Sweden
Elo 1731
Tunisia
Elo 1562
Very balanced
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 12.2%
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.2%
Match details
Netherlands
Elo 1971
Sweden
Elo 1731
Netherlands clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 11.4%
If it opens up: 3-1at 6.5%
Match details
Japan
Elo 1888
Sweden
Elo 1731
Sweden live
Most likely exact 1-0 at 12.1% (low dominance — distribution is flat)
If it opens up: 2-2at 5.5%
Match details
France
Elo 2163
Sweden
Elo 1731
France dominant
Scoreline cluster 2-0 / 1-0 / 2-1 · top exact 10.8%
If it opens up: 3-0at 8.4%
Match details