Senegal
CAF · Group I
Senegal
Elo 1820 · 1.1% Champion
Tournament probabilities
Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.
Ratings
Ratings
Analyst brief — Senegal going into Global Cup 2026
Form
Title-holders' aura faded post-2022; recent AFCON exit raised questions about Aliou Cissé's successor (Pape Bouna Thiaw).
Style
4-3-3 with Sarr/Diallo wide and Mané central. Physically dominant defensive line.
Squad
Mané approaching twilight at 33; Sarr & Diallo the next generation; Kalidou Koulibaly still leads the defence.
Tournament ceiling
Round of 16.
Biggest risk
Coaching transition — Cissé's replacement hasn't had time to imprint his style.
Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.
Group stage fixtures
France
Elo 2163
Senegal
Elo 1816
France clear edge
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 2-0 · top exact 10.0%
If it opens up: 3-1at 7.1%
Match details
Norway
Elo 1972
Senegal
Elo 1816
Senegal live
Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 1-1 / 1-0 · top exact 8.6%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.9%
Match detailsSenegal
Elo 1816
Iraq
Elo 1561
Senegal clear edge
Projected score 1-0 · top exact 12.9%
If it opens up: 3-1at 5.8%
Match details
Belgium
Elo 1948
Senegal
Elo 1816
Senegal live
Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 2-1 / 1-1 · top exact 10.0%
If it opens up: 2-2at 6.3%
Match details