Iraq

AFC · Group I

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Iraq

Elo 1620 · 0.0% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1620

Base rating68

Attack66

Midfield66

Defense68

Goalkeeper68

Set pieces64

Penalties66

Form68

Volatility60

Squad depth60

Injury status84

Data quality74

Ratings

Analyst brief — Iraq going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Best-ever cycle — Jesús Casas has the side playing organised, attacking football.

Style

4-3-3 with Aymen Hussein up top, Resan and Tahseen in midfield.

Squad

Mohammed Resan & Tahseen the midfielders; Saad Natiq the CB; Jalal Hassan in goal.

Tournament ceiling

Group stage exit baseline; first WC qualification since 1986.

Biggest risk

Inexperience at WC tempo.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group I

Tue, Jun 16 · 22:00 UTC

54% conf

Iraq

Elo 1561

Norway

Elo 1972

IRQ 21%Draw 17%NOR 63%

Norway clear edge

Scoreline cluster 1-2 / 0-1 / 0-2 · top exact 9.8%

xG 1.14 – 2.18BTTS 59%·O2.5 64%

If it opens up: 1-3at 7.1%

Match details

Group I

Mon, Jun 22 · 21:00 UTC

66% conf

France

Elo 2163

Iraq

Elo 1561

FRA 79%Draw 12%IRQ 10%

France dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-0 / 3-0 / 1-0 · top exact 11.4%

xG 2.66 – 0.77BTTS 49%·O2.5 67%

If it opens up: 3-0at 10.1%

Match details

Group I

Fri, Jun 26 · 19:00 UTC

50% conf

Senegal

Elo 1816

Iraq

Elo 1561

SEN 57%Draw 19%IRQ 23%

Senegal clear edge

Projected score 1-0 · top exact 12.9%

xG 1.78 – 1.01BTTS 51%·O2.5 53%

If it opens up: 3-1at 5.8%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing65

Possession pref.58

Directness60

High line56

Set-piece threat64

Slug · iraq