Egypt

CAF · Group G

Egypt

Elo 1720 · 0.4% Champion

Tournament probabilities

Probability of reaching each round, from the Monte Carlo simulator.

Ratings

Elo1720
Base rating74
Attack78
Midfield72
Defense70
Goalkeeper74
Set pieces70
Penalties72
Form72
Volatility58
Squad depth66
Injury status84
Data quality78

Ratings

Analyst brief — Egypt going into Global Cup 2026

Editorial

Form

Salah-dependent as ever; recent results mixed under Hossam Hassan.

Style

Build around Salah on the right; mid-block 4-4-2.

Squad

Salah at 33 still elite; Hegazi & Hamdy the central defence; midfield workmanlike.

Tournament ceiling

Round of 16.

Biggest risk

Without Salah generating xG, Egypt have very few alternative creators.

Editorial analysis from public reporting going into the tournament. Not betting advice. Not a guaranteed prediction.

Group stage fixtures

Group G
Mon, Jun 15 · 19:00 UTC
50% conf

Belgium

Elo 1948

vs

Egypt

Elo 1742

BEL 53%Draw 19%EGY 29%

Belgium narrow edge

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 9.5%

xG 1.901.34BTTS 61%·O2.5 63%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.3%

Match details
Group G
Sun, Jun 21 · 01:00 UTC
48% conf

New Zealand

Elo 1534

vs

Egypt

Elo 1742

NZL 23%Draw 19%EGY 58%

Egypt clear edge

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-2 / 0-2 · top exact 11.6%

xG 1.081.89BTTS 54%·O2.5 57%

If it opens up: 1-3at 6.3%

Match details
Group G
Fri, Jun 26 · 03:00 UTC
41% conf

Egypt

Elo 1742

vs

Iran

Elo 1764

EGY 42%Draw 21%IRN 37%

Iran live

Scoreline cluster 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1 · top exact 11.5%

xG 1.421.31BTTS 53%·O2.5 51%

If it opens up: 2-2at 5.6%

Match details
Group X
Fri, Jul 3 · 18:00 UTC
42% conf

Australia

Elo 1795

vs

Egypt

Elo 1742

AUS 37%Draw 20%EGY 43%

Australia live

Scoreline cluster 0-1 / 1-0 / 1-1 · top exact 10.0%

xG 1.421.54BTTS 58%·O2.5 57%

If it opens up: 2-2at 6.2%

Match details
Group X
Tue, Jul 7 · 16:00 UTC
63% conf

Argentina

Elo 2156

vs

Egypt

Elo 1742

ARG 70%Draw 14%EGY 16%

Argentina dominant

Scoreline cluster 2-1 / 2-0 / 1-0 · top exact 9.4%

xG 2.511.07BTTS 59%·O2.5 69%

If it opens up: 3-1at 7.9%

Match details

Tactical profile

Pressing65
Possession pref.55
Directness72
High line55
Set-piece threat68
Slug · egypt